Wednesday, March 12, 2014

Unemployment kills hope for graduates



The economy of Zimbabwe shrunk significantly after 2000, resulting in a desperate situation for the country and widespread poverty and an 80% unemployment rate. The participation from 1998 to 2002 in the war in the Democratic Republic of the Congo set the stage for this deterioration by draining the country of hundreds of millions of dollars. Hyperinflation has been a major problem from about 2003 to April 2009, when the country suspended its own currency. Zimbabwe faced 231 million per cent peak hyperinflation in 2008.

 Many graduates from Zimbabwe’s tertiary institutions have lost hope of ever getting formal employment, as the economy continues to shrink. Companies are either downsizing or closing down, sending thousands of workers out of employment, making it virtually impossible for school leavers to get jobs. Independent economists say Zimbabwe’s unemployment rate is at over 80% but the government puts it at 11% arguing that most people are now employed in the informal sector.

It is estimated that over 300 000 students are churned out of schools, colleges and universities every year to join millions already unemployed. Out of desperation, some school leavers have resorted to drug abuse and at times gambling to eke out a living and some have resorted to become vendors. Zimstats estimates indicate that 65% of Zimbabweans live on less than US$1 per day. The government says our industries will soon be up and running and many jobs will be created as we revamp our dilapidated infrastructure. Experts have blamed the high unemployment rate on unfriendly policies adopted by President Robert Mugabe’s Zanu PF administration over the years. The Indigenisation law, first promulgated in 2007, was cited as one of the most investor unfriendly policies.

Low GDP growth and low investment in Zimbabwe are direct causes of the shrinking demand for labour. Our government should consider reforming its economy to allow more labour-intense industries to develop. A 2013 report titled: Nexus between Growth, Employment and Poverty in Zimbabwe: The Economics of Employment Creation by the Labour and Economic Development Institute of Zimbabwe (Ledriz), said unemployment worsened even before the economic crisis.  There was need to attract investors but “investors are worried about the policies we have deliberately imposed — they need to be changed.”
 The Indigenisation law compels foreign-owned companies to cede 51% of their stake to locals. High taxation, government interference and the indigenisation policy especially in the mining sector, needed to be changed. Unemployment is so high that it’s a social curse to Zimbabwe. It’s actually a time-bomb. It’s really a cancer in Zimbabwe, more serious than the liquidity crunch. The leading economist, John Robertson told business daily that unless Zimbabwe takes austerity measures to address political and economic problems that continue to dog its economy, the country's unemployment rate will continue to escalate. Zimbabwe's economy remains fragile, with business and industry capacity utilisation depressed due to liquidity crisis and poor foreign direct investment flow among other constraints although the average Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rate following the adoption of a multi-currency regime.
ONE IS LEFT WONDERING WHAT WILL BECOME OF US IN THE NEXT YEARS TO COME.

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