The
World Bank says the 2014 outlook for Zimbabwe’s ailing economy is increasingly
uncertain. According to the World Bank’s September economic
briefing, the economy faces uncertainty both from expected volatility in the
global economy and on the domestic front after the contested July 31 elections
amidst worsening macroeconomic indicators and increased vulnerability of the
banking sector. Below are excerpts of the outlook report: As the US Federal
Reserve Bank starts unwinding the recent expansionary monetary stance, emerging
markets may face increased volatility due to expected capital outflows and
possible volatility of international commodity prices. Year 2013 global growth
is expected to remain slow, at 2,2%, held back by rather weaker high-income
countries growth (1,2%). Although financial conditions in high-income countries
have generally improved, growth in the Euro area remains subdued by the still
weak confidence and continuing banking sector and fiscal consolidations.
The
World Bank says the outlook for Zimbabwe’s economy for 2014 remains uncertain
due to a number of internal and external factors, including the expected
volatility in the global economy. Zimbabwe's increased political repression,
descent into economic collapse, and growing international isolation have an
impact well beyond the country's borders. Donors, who have been developing
strategies for dealing with 'difficult partners,' have been frustrated by their
inability to encourage a more positive direction for the country. Some analysts
always lie that the future is blooming but the truth is our future lies in the
hands of the Chinese hence, the introduction of their currency into our
country. On current trends, Zimbabwe’s economy is about five
years away from a full gravity-defying recovery.
By
the normal laws of economics, Zimbabwe’s government ought to have collapsed –
but the global spike in mineral prices has changed things. Suddenly, the
diamond mines became more valuable than ever and Chinese investors turned up
willing to do business with Mugabe without any of the qualms shown by the West.
Instead of being lectured by the International Monetary Fund, he was being
offered his gilded place in China’s fast-growing African empire. Even now,
officials in the Foreign Office talk about what to do with Africa as if the old
colonial master still had substantial clout to wield. Tony Blair has admitted
that he laboured under this delusion until he left office, only later realising
that China had come from nowhere to be Africa’s biggest single client and most
influential ally. That influence can come via Chinese government enterprises. In
Zimbabwe, the press is full of signs of China’s growing influence. There is
talk of giant television screens being erected in Harare to transmit Chinese
news.
But
the other old argument for change – that Zimbabwe’s prosperity can only come
with the restoration of its old freedoms – has taken a knock in recent years.
Mineral mining vies with oil trading as the worst form of capitalism, bringing
money without the need for liberty. To grow rich on farming and manufacturing
requires the rule of law, education, property rights and economic
liberalisation. We just need people who can cut deal with foreigners who want
to drill for oil or diamonds.
IF
WE JUST LEAVE OUR LIVES’ IN THE HANDS OF THE CHINESE, WE ARE GOING TO REMAIN
POOR FOR THE REST OF OUR LIVES.
ZIMBABWEANS
WE NEED TO BE WARY!!!!!
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